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UK Inflation Drops, Easing Some Pressure on Government

gisthub Jan 15, 2025
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Britain’s annual inflation rate unexpectedly dropped to 2.5 percent in December, down from 2.6 percent in November, according to official data released by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) on Wednesday.

This slight decrease offers some relief to the Labour government amid ongoing economic concerns.

Analysts had predicted that the Consumer Prices Index (CPI) would remain stable at November’s figure. The ONS attributed the dip to lower hotel prices and a slower rise in tobacco costs compared to the same period last year.

“Inflation eased very slightly as hotel prices dipped after rising in December 2023,” said Grant Fitzner, chief ONS economist. “The cost of tobacco was another downward driver, as prices increased less than a year earlier,” he added.

However, Fitzner pointed out that rising fuel prices and a rebound in the cost of second-hand cars, which marked their first annual increase since July 2023, partially offset the overall decline in inflation.

On a monthly basis, the Consumer Prices Index (CPI) rose by 0.3 percent in December, slightly lower than the 0.4 percent increase observed in the same month the previous year. Core CPI, which excludes energy, food, alcohol, and tobacco, also dropped, rising by 3.2 percent in the 12 months leading up to December, compared to 3.5 percent in November.

The inflation data came just a day after UK finance minister Rachel Reeves faced intense scrutiny in parliament over the government’s handling of the economy. Reeves acknowledged the need to “go further and faster” to stimulate economic growth amid rising state borrowing costs and a sharp decline in the value of the pound.

During a tense parliamentary session, the opposition Conservative Party renewed calls for Reeves to resign, criticizing her management of economic policies. Despite this, Prime Minister Keir Starmer expressed his full support for the chancellor.

Adding to the economic pressure, UK 10-year bond yields, a key indicator of market confidence, recently surged to their highest level since the 2008 global financial crisis, further straining the government’s fiscal policies. This surge may force the government to consider spending cuts and additional tax hikes.

Reeves’ first budget in October included tax increases on businesses, a move widely criticized for contributing to Britain’s sluggish economic growth in recent months.

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