Is France the favorite? Chris Sutton analyzes the World Cup round-of-32 fixtures

Chris Sutton evaluates the World Cup knockout stage, offering his predictions for the last-32 matchups while assessing current favorites and potential upsets.

With sixteen nations eliminated, the remaining field is focused on the World Cup final at MetLife Stadium this July. The first knockout phase features notable clashes, including England facing DR Congo and defending champions Argentina taking on Cape Verde.

Chris Sutton, along with AI simulations, struggled with some group stage outcomes, particularly Ecuador’s unexpected victory over Germany. Currently, participants in the BBC predictor game are outperforming both the expert and the AI, boasting a 67% accuracy rate across 104 matches.

Sutton expects Canada to overwhelm co-hosts South Africa with their intensity, while he tips Japan to upset Brazil, citing concerns over the South American side’s midfield mobility. Regarding England, Sutton anticipates a difficult contest against DR Congo, acknowledging the tactical flexibility of coach Sebastien Desabre, yet he maintains faith in England to advance. Similarly, he expects the USA to overcome Bosnia, while predicting a tight, low-scoring affair between Egypt and Switzerland that may require penalties. Argentina is expected to progress past Cape Verde, with Sutton noting the continued influence of Lionel Messi.

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